The typical family will be shopping for electronics, games, clothing, and the procrastinators on Dec. 24Th for whatever they can get their hands on. Buyers will camp out in front of stores, and stand in line for hours or even days to get the bargain they saw in the ad.
At the dinner table, families talk about what they’ve accomplished, and they talk about real estate. They will talk with those that don’t own a home as well as those that don’t, abouthow the market has deflated, and about the economy. There is usually someone that is the “expert” of the family, has seen it all and warned everybody of the impending danger of owning a home, he/she will cite the recent news, use a friend or family member that lost a house, and state they never had a problem with real estate and has been able to avoid the foreclosure market of the 80′s, 90′s and this one. He/she is still renting, still has no appreciation, still increasing the wealth of his/her landlord, still has no tax write offs, and is still waiting for the right opportunity to buy. In the corner there is always a family member that has his/her home paid off, owns several pieces of property, purchased when the other said not to, has write offs galore, and is waiting for the other to be ready to buy property so the doom and gloom can buy his/her home and can cash out.
People that make a living off of real estate cannot predict a bottom, what makes you think you can. If one thing that can be learned from this mess is that most people missed the top due to greed, and most will miss the bottom if they haven’t already due to the same.
Home buyers are now thinking holiday and are waiting for them to go by so they can get ready to buy. Great deals are found in the holiday months as buyers wait, and seller see fewer offers, so why wait. The other thing that will happen is the added group of buyers looking to get the 8000 tax credit which just like those that go shopping on the 24th will find the green socks with red polka dots as a gift (sorry if you own some).
Remember real estate is local, that is why in parts of Las Vegas Real estatewe’ve been seeing increases for the past four months, despite the reports on declines in prices. Investors that purchased at the begining of the year are now selling at double. Will it last, only time will tell, but with banks manipulating inventories, and short sale approval doubling we may have leveled the market off. One thing that are not seen as often are some of the lower priced homes as low as they were a few months ago, and I’ve also seen homes that banks have increased the initial price.
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